Sweden Democrats: Who will win the next Swedish general election?
If the winner of the next Swedish general election is Sweden Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
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377 records · As of Sep 13, 2026, 9:17 PM UTC
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24Will Jimmie Åkesson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
If Jimmie Åkesson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats be a part of the next government in Sweden?
If a coalition that includes Sweden Democrats make up the next elected ruling government of Sweden before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats be the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election?
If Sweden Democrats is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats finish 2nd in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If Sweden Democrats finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If Sweden Democrats finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats finish 4th in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If Sweden Democrats finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 17% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 17% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 18% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 19% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 19% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 21% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 21% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 22% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 23% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 23% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will Sweden Democrats receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).